SimpleFunctions
Winner-take-all · 16 outcomes16 contractsKalshirefreshed 1 min agoCloses May 8, 2026 · 0d

Will the silver close price be above 97.99 USD/t.oz on Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT

Leader sits at 85% across 16 bound outcomes, runner-up at 42%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

85%

above $59.99

runner-up 42¢leader 85¢

Outcomes

16

winner-take-all

Runner-up

42¢

above $80.99

Spread

43pp

contested

24h volume

$289

thin orderbook

Closes

May 8, 2026

0 days

Venue

Kalshi

16 bound

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Cluster 1

Will the silver close price be above

16 contracts$289
OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

Will the silver close price be above 80.99 USD/t.oz on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $80.99

KXSILVERW-26MAY1517-T80.99

42¢$171K

Will the silver close price be above 84.99 USD/t.oz on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $84.99

KXSILVERW-26MAY1517-T84.99

19¢$39K

Will the silver close price be above 85.99 USD/t.oz on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $85.99

KXSILVERW-26MAY1517-T85.99

16¢$19K

Will the silver close price be above 83.99 USD/t.oz on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $83.99

KXSILVERW-26MAY1517-T83.99

19¢$17K

Will the silver close price be above 86.99 USD/t.oz on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $86.99

KXSILVERW-26MAY1517-T86.99

5¢$6K

Will the silver close price be above 98.99 USD/t.oz on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $98.99

KXSILVERW-26MAY1517-T98.99

20¢$5K

Will the silver close price be above 96.99 USD/t.oz on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $96.99

KXSILVERW-26MAY1517-T96.99

21¢$4K

Will the silver close price be above 97.99 USD/t.oz on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $97.99

KXSILVERW-26MAY1517-T97.99

22¢$4K

Will the silver close price be above 95.99 USD/t.oz on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $95.99

KXSILVERW-26MAY1517-T95.99

22¢$4K

Will the silver close price be above 94.99 USD/t.oz on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $94.99

KXSILVERW-26MAY1517-T94.99

23¢$4K

Will the silver close price be above 82.99 USD/t.oz on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $82.99

KXSILVERW-26MAY1517-T82.99

25¢$4K

Will the silver close price be above 93.99 USD/t.oz on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $93.99

KXSILVERW-26MAY1517-T93.99

30¢$3K

Will the silver close price be above 81.99 USD/t.oz on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $81.99

KXSILVERW-26MAY1517-T81.99

40¢$3K

Will the silver close price be above 92.99 USD/t.oz on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $92.99

KXSILVERW-26MAY1517-T92.99

31¢$3K

Will the silver close price be above 91.99 USD/t.oz on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $91.99

KXSILVERW-26MAY1517-T91.99

32¢$3K

Will the silver close price be above 59.99 USD/t.oz on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $59.99

KXSILVERW-26MAY1517-T59.99

85¢$0K

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 1 min ago.