Panserraikos vs Atromitos Athinon Winner
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 31% across 15 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
31%
15 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$1
15 contracts
Closes
May 24, 2026
16 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
5 clusters across 15 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 17% of their title tokens — “Atromitos Athinon vs Panaitolikos Winner” vs “Olympiacos vs PAOK Winner”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Atromitos Athinon vs Panaitolikos Winner
Atromitos Athinon vs Panaitolikos Winner?: Tie
KXSLGREECEGAME-26MAY09ATRPAG-TIE
Atromitos Athinon vs Panaitolikos Winner?: Panaitolikos
KXSLGREECEGAME-26MAY09ATRPAG-PAG
Atromitos Athinon vs Panaitolikos Winner?: Atromitos Athinon
KXSLGREECEGAME-26MAY09ATRPAG-ATR
Cluster 2
Olympiacos vs PAOK Winner
Cluster 3
AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos Winner
Cluster 4
Volos vs Levadiakos Winner
Cluster 5
Aris Thessaloniki vs OFI Crete Winner
Aris Thessaloniki vs OFI Crete Winner?: Aris Thessaloniki
KXSLGREECEGAME-26MAY10ARISOFI-ARIS
Aris Thessaloniki vs OFI Crete Winner?: Tie
KXSLGREECEGAME-26MAY10ARISOFI-TIE
Aris Thessaloniki vs OFI Crete Winner?: OFI Crete
KXSLGREECEGAME-26MAY10ARISOFI-OFI
What moved the line
- May 8Tie↑3pp22→25¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 min ago.