Will SOL trimmed mean be below $60.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Apr 30, 2026
Leader sits at 16% across 3 bound outcomes, runner-up at 5%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Below $80.00
Outcomes
3
winner-take-all
Runner-up
5¢
Below $75.00
Spread
11pp
contested
24h volume
$398
thin orderbook
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
23 days
Venue
Kalshi
3 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will SOL trimmed mean be below $
Will SOL trimmed mean be below $75.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $75.00
KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26MAY31-7500
Will SOL trimmed mean be below $80.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $80.00
KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26MAY31-8000
Will SOL trimmed mean be below $55.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $55.00
KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26MAY31-5500
What moved the line
- May 6Below $80.00↓26pp69→43¢ · Kalshi
- May 6Below $75.00↓18pp36→18¢ · Kalshi
- May 2Below $75.00↓14pp51→37¢ · Kalshi
- May 2Below $55.00↓9pp12→3¢ · Kalshi
- May 2Below $80.00↑5pp64→69¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 min ago.