Will Carolina and Minnesota be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Hockey Championship Series
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 10% across 9 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
10%
9 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$16K
9 contracts
Closes
Jun 5, 2026
27 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 9 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 33% of their title tokens — “Will Carolina” vs “Will Montreal”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Will Carolina
Will Carolina and Colorado be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Hockey Championship Series?: Carolina and Colorado
KXTEAMSINSC-26-CARCOL
Will Carolina and Minnesota be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Hockey Championship Series?: Carolina and Minnesota
KXTEAMSINSC-26-CARMIN
Will Carolina and Vegas be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Hockey Championship Series?: Carolina and Vegas
KXTEAMSINSC-26-CARVGK
Will Carolina and Anaheim be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Hockey Championship Series?: Carolina and Anaheim
KXTEAMSINSC-26-CARANA
Will Carolina and Utah be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Hockey Championship Series?: Carolina and Utah
KXTEAMSINSC-26-CARUTA
Cluster 2
Will Montreal
Will Montreal and Colorado be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Hockey Championship Series?: Montreal and Colorado
KXTEAMSINSC-26-MTLCOL
Will Montreal and Minnesota be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Hockey Championship Series?: Montreal and Minnesota
KXTEAMSINSC-26-MTLMIN
Cluster 3
Will Buffalo
Will Buffalo and Colorado be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Hockey Championship Series?: Buffalo and Colorado
KXTEAMSINSC-26-BUFCOL
Will Buffalo and Vegas be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Hockey Championship Series?: Buffalo and Vegas
KXTEAMSINSC-26-BUFVGK
Analysis
This market reflects a 9% probability that the Carolina Hurricanes and Minnesota Wild will face each other in the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals. The prediction suggests both teams would need to win their respective conference championships, an outcome markets currently view as unlikely. The probability is influenced by each team's current roster strength, playoff seeding position, and recent performance trends. The main uncertainty will be resolved through the 2025-26 NHL season and subsequent playoffs, with the Stanley Cup Finals scheduled for June 2026. Key factors include each team's regular-season performance through the spring, playoff matchup circumstances that determine which teams advance from each conference, and any significant trades or roster changes during the season.
- ›Carolina's current playoff positioning and win-loss trajectory relative to other Eastern Conference contenders
- ›Minnesota's competitive standing in the Western Conference and recent performance consistency
- ›Injury status and roster health for both teams heading into the playoff stretch
- ›Head-to-head strength of schedule remaining in the 2025-26 regular season for each club
- ›Playoff bracket structure and seeding outcomes that determine which opponents each team faces in earlier rounds
What moved the line
- May 6Carolina and Colorado↑16pp26→42¢ · Kalshi
- May 3Carolina and Anaheim↑6pp3→9¢ · Kalshi
- May 7Carolina and Anaheim↓6pp9→3¢ · Kalshi
- May 7Carolina and Vegas↓5pp13→8¢ · Kalshi
- May 7Buffalo and Colorado↑5pp11→16¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 min ago.