Thespa Gunma vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 34% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
34%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$351
20 contracts
Closes
May 6, 2026
0 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 22% of their title tokens — “Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets” vs “Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xc26872…5101
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets: Montedio Yamagata (-2.5)
0xa5b295…370e
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets: Montedio Yamagata (-1.5)
0xc6b29b…917b
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xd6d00c…a2e5
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets: Thespa Gunma (-2.5)
0xf0472b…99af
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xf9c843…8a5a
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xda0ea1…f5e3
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets: Thespa Gunma (-1.5)
0xa980d1…29b1
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x68f5fb…ba0a
Cluster 2
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xd165f0…81c8
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x22beac…2bae
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Yokohama FC (-2.5)
0x63f37e…c527
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Yokohama FC (-1.5)
0x2c1d81…eecf
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xd68383…5708
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Tochigi City FC (-1.5)
0x00d353…5196
Cluster 3
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x3f4aee…054d
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x370751…ca9a
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x59499b…4dcd
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x55c4f8…292a
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets: FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5)
0xbe0413…65c7
What moved the line
- May 6Thespa Gunma (-2.5)↓29pp37→8¢ · Polymarket
- May 6Yokohama FC (-2.5)↓29pp38→9¢ · Polymarket
- May 6Montedio Yamagata (-2.5)↓25pp36→11¢ · Polymarket
- May 6Thespa Gunma (-1.5)↓24pp37→13¢ · Polymarket
- May 6Tochigi City FC (-1.5)↓22pp35→13¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 d ago.