Will the fight go the distance
Leader sits at 62% across 20 bound outcomes, runner-up at 60%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Fight goes the distance
Outcomes
20
winner-take-all
Runner-up
60¢
Fight goes the distance
Spread
2pp
contested
24h volume
$10K
modest
Closes
May 30, 2026
22 days
Venue
Kalshi
20 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will the fight go the distance
Will the fight go the distance?: Fight goes the distance
KXUFCDISTANCE-26MAY09CHISTR-DIST
Will the fight go the distance?: Fight goes the distance
KXUFCDISTANCE-26MAY09VANTAI-DIST
Will the fight go the distance?: Fight goes the distance
KXUFCDISTANCE-26MAY09GRESTE-DIST
Will the fight go the distance?: Fight goes the distance
KXUFCDISTANCE-26MAY09BRABUC-DIST
Will the fight go the distance?: Fight goes the distance
KXUFCDISTANCE-26MAY09MILGOR-DIST
Will the fight go the distance?: Fight goes the distance
KXUFCDISTANCE-26MAY09SUSSAN-DIST
Will the fight go the distance?: Fight goes the distance
KXUFCDISTANCE-26MAY16ROUCAR-DIST
Will the fight go the distance?: Fight goes the distance
KXUFCDISTANCE-26MAY16DIAPER-DIST
Will the fight go the distance?: Fight goes the distance
KXUFCDISTANCE-26MAY09ALVAMO-DIST
Will the fight go the distance?: Fight goes the distance
KXUFCDISTANCE-26MAY09VOLCOR-DIST
Will the fight go the distance?: Fight goes the distance
KXUFCDISTANCE-26MAY09DAWREB-DIST
Will the fight go the distance?: Fight goes the distance
KXUFCDISTANCE-26MAY16NGALIN-DIST
Will the fight go the distance?: Fight goes the distance
KXUFCDISTANCE-26MAY16AVIJEN-DIST
Will the fight go the distance?: Fight goes the distance
KXUFCDISTANCE-26MAY16DOSDES-DIST
Will the fight go the distance?: Fight goes the distance
KXUFCDISTANCE-26MAY16MOKMOR-DIST
Will the fight go the distance?: Fight goes the distance
KXUFCDISTANCE-26MAY16PERMAS-DIST
Will the fight go the distance?: Fight goes the distance
KXUFCDISTANCE-26MAY16SALCRO-DIST
Will the fight go the distance?: Fight goes the distance
KXUFCDISTANCE-26MAY16FAZBAB-DIST
Will the fight go the distance?: Fight goes the distance
KXUFCDISTANCE-26MAY16JACCRE-DIST
Will the fight go the distance?: Fight goes the distance
KXUFCDISTANCE-26MAY16MGOMOR-DIST
What moved the line
- May 6Fight goes the distance↓30pp51→21¢ · Kalshi
- May 6Fight goes the distance↓29pp49→20¢ · Kalshi
- May 6Fight goes the distance↓23pp44→21¢ · Kalshi
- May 6Fight goes the distance↓23pp41→18¢ · Kalshi
- May 6Fight goes the distance↓21pp40→19¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 min ago.