Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 30% across 19 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
30%
19 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$4K
19 contracts
Closes
May 6, 2026
0 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 19 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds” vs “FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x137a07…5c60
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Kashiwa Reysol
0x3481b3…7cd2
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x1ae4fa…7485
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Urawa Red Diamonds
0xa86687…d447
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Draw (Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds)
0xbb1d85…f498
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xde5526…9dbc
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x8c771d…0d08
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5)
0xc60a6d…d8a2
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)
0x13fca1…9be2
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)
0xf874fe…2d7f
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x1083aa…04fd
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5)
0xadcf74…f821
Cluster 2
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: FC Tōkyō
0xd5f09f…3626
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Draw (FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba)
0xb361f9…8895
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x371c76…f813
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: JEF United Ichihara Chiba
0xdc8c78…b5f6
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)
0x3724ce…8650
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets: JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-1.5)
0x6d4f0c…5c80
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x47d52b…9c5a
What moved the line
- May 6FC Tōkyō↓31pp66→35¢ · Polymarket
- May 6JEF United Ichihara Chiba↑28pp13→41¢ · Polymarket
- May 6Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5)↓19pp28→9¢ · Polymarket
- May 3FC Tōkyō↑18pp48→66¢ · Polymarket
- May 6Urawa Red Diamonds↑18pp32→50¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 d ago.