Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by...
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 8% across 1 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
8%
1 contract
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$787
1 contracts
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
52 days
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by...?: June 30
0xef4ab0…e58f
Analysis
This contract estimates a 7% probability that Valve will reintroduce Cache to Counter-Strike 2's competitive map pool by June 30, 2026. Cache was a popular community-designed map that Valve removed from the active pool in 2017 to focus on other maps. The low probability reflects that Valve has not signaled plans to restore it, and the company typically makes map pool adjustments based on competitive viability and player feedback rather than nostalgia. The main uncertainty driver is whether upcoming competitive feedback or player engagement metrics might prompt Valve to reconsider the roster. The contract resolves on June 30, 2026, when Valve's official map pool status becomes definitive.
- ›Cache has been absent from the competitive map pool for approximately 9 years with no official Valve statements indicating plans for its return
- ›Recent Valve map pool decisions have favored newer maps like Anubis and Ancient over reverting to legacy maps
- ›Competitive CS2 teams and community engagement metrics would need to demonstrate sufficient demand to justify Cache's reintegration over current alternatives
- ›Valve typically announces major map pool changes during official announcements or competitive season updates, not randomly
- ›The 58-day resolution window (May 3 to June 30, 2026) constrains opportunities for Valve to make and implement such a decision
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 1 contract (8% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 min ago.