Viborg FF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold
Leader sits at 53% across 3 bound outcomes, runner-up at 25%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Viborg FF
Outcomes
3
winner-take-all
Runner-up
25¢
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Spread
28pp
contested
24h volume
$604
thin orderbook
Closes
May 8, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
3 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Viborg FF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold
Analysis
Viborg FF is priced as a 53% favorite over Sønderjyske Fodbold in this match, meaning prediction market participants estimate Viborg has a slightly better than even-odds chance of winning. The pricing reflects Viborg's likely positioning in the Danish football league standings and historical head-to-head performance, though Sønderjyske remains a credible threat at 31% implied probability. The outcome will be determined by the match result on the scheduled date, with factors including team form, injury status, and home-field advantage all contributing to the current assessment. No material new information in the past 24 hours has shifted trading volume significantly, indicating relative stability in market expectations. The match itself represents the primary catalyst that will resolve this uncertainty, moving one contract to $1 and the other to $0.
- ›Viborg FF's current league position and recent win-loss record relative to Sønderjyske's standing in the Danish football hierarchy
- ›Injury or suspension status of key players for each team heading into the match
- ›Historical head-to-head results and goals-for/against differentials between the two clubs
- ›Home-field advantage location and both teams' performance records at their respective stadiums
- ›Sønderjyske's ability to generate scoring opportunities against Viborg's defensive setup
What moved the line
- May 6Draw (Viborg FF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold)↓10pp32→22¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 d ago.