Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets
Leader sits at 72% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 46%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
46¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
26pp
contested
24h volume
$311
thin orderbook
Closes
May 10, 2026
1 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets
Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xc65438…1605
Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: Fagiano Okayama (-2.5)
0x003bd7…972d
Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xca5a63…8e18
Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x9c0a85…cbf8
Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x8786b3…555f
Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x807ba2…05d4
Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: Vissel Kōbe (-2.5)
0x3ec639…e72e
Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: Fagiano Okayama (-1.5)
0x3111b3…0951
Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: Vissel Kōbe (-1.5)
0x0c962e…a4b3
What moved the line
- May 8Vissel Kōbe (-2.5)↑5pp15→20¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Fagiano Okayama (-1.5)↓4pp11→7¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Fagiano Okayama (-2.5)↓3pp11→8¢ · Polymarket
- May 7O/U 4.5↓3pp16→13¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 5 min ago.