SimpleFunctions
ClosedLast odds shown below are frozen at close (May 7, 2026). Future questions tracked on /odds.
Winner-take-all · 9 outcomes9 contractsPolymarketclosed 1 d agoCloses May 6, 2026 · 0d

Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets

Leader sits at 71% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 52%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

71%

O/U 1.5

runner-up 52¢leader 71¢

Outcomes

9

winner-take-all

Runner-up

52¢

Both Teams to Score

Spread

19pp

contested

24h volume

$88

thin orderbook

Closes

May 6, 2026

0 days

Venue

Polymarket

9 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayO/U 1.5: 80% on 2026-05-06Both Teams to Score: 53% (3 days, 3 points)Both Teams to Score: 53% on 2026-05-06O/U 2.5: 46% (3 days, 3 points)O/U 2.5: 46% on 2026-05-06
O/U 1.580¢Both Teams to Score53¢O/U 2.546¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 3d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Analysis

This market reflects traders' assessment of the likelihood of a specific outcome in the Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC matchup, currently priced at 52% for the leader's contract. The probability sits above a coin flip, indicating meaningful conviction toward one side, though the runner-up contract at 38% suggests material uncertainty remains. Key drivers of this level include the relative strength and form of both teams heading into the fixture, home-field advantage positioning, recent head-to-head records, and any relevant injuries or roster changes. The primary catalyst for resolving this uncertainty will be the scheduled match itself—once played, the outcome will determine the winner-take-all contract settlement. Until then, market movements will likely reflect updates on team news, betting movements from sharp bettors, or confirmation of starting lineups closer to kickoff.

  • Current team league standing and recent win-loss records for both Zweigen Kanazawa and Ehime FC
  • Head-to-head historical performance in previous matchups
  • Confirmed player availability or absence due to injury or suspension
  • Home vs. away venue advantage and historical performance differential
  • Relative odds and spread pricing across other prediction markets for the same fixture

What moved the line

  • May 6Zweigen Kanazawa (-2.5)33pp374¢ · Polymarket
  • May 6Zweigen Kanazawa (-1.5)26pp4115¢ · Polymarket
  • May 6Ehime FC (-2.5)22pp3715¢ · Polymarket
  • May 6O/U 4.521pp3413¢ · Polymarket
  • May 6O/U 3.516pp4125¢ · Polymarket

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 1 d ago.