Trump China visit at 93¢ is 33 cents too rich with ME assets pinned

Polymarket prices Trump visiting China in 2026 at 93¢, but the thesis implies only 60¢ — a 33¢ edge on NO. US military assets are at maximum Middle East deployment; a presidential trip to Beijing requires months of diplomatic groundwork that the Iran conflict has completely consumed. The effective edge is 24¢ after friction. At 93¢ this is a heavily overbought consensus trade with no near-term catalyst.