HIGH·BUY YES·macroApr 13, 2026

WTI $86 minimum target is mispriced after Iran repricing

WTI $86 minimum-by-Apr-30 sits at 18¢ after falling 5¢ today, yet the $105 contract just surged to 83¢ and $110 to 77¢ on Iran/Hormuz risk. Spot WTI is trading near $100+ implied by the upper contracts, making the $86 floor a near-certainty at current spot. The -5¢ move on KXWTIMINM-26APR30-T86 is a contagion lag — upper strike repriced +34¢ while this floor contract barely moved. Buy YES at 18¢ for a minimum 82¢ payout.

edge82¢
horizonApr 30, 2026
directionBUY YES
markets2
Catalyst

WTI $105 contract at 83¢ implies spot already well above $86 floor; Iran/Hormuz disruption risk sustained

Risk

Rapid ceasefire or Iran deal collapses oil premium; diplomatic meeting markets surging today

Referenced Markets

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