Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

0x00b871a93b455337c88a929622446b708d00115366c16e8ea25cdcd96ebdb247 · closes Sep 13, 2026

Price

Last
1¢
Bid
1¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
0¢
24h Volume
$50.785
Open Interest
$26,488.624

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)Annualized return on the NO side
CRICliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
OverroundMulti-outcome arb signal across the event family
LASLiquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RVRealized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VRVol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IARInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IYRisk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.

7-Day History

0 indicator snapshots · 3 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
0¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 4:38:23 PM

About this market

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to trade

View on polymarket: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade 0x00b871a93b455337c88a929622446b708d00115366c16e8ea25cdcd96ebdb247 yes 100

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