Will Brooks Rogowski be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?

0x2332e51f4618daaf2cc972dd0ff9f1ad69bfa6bc744498764edce7978ab06a59 · closes Jun 27, 2026 · 74 days remaining

Price

Last
10¢
Bid
1¢
Ask
20¢
Spread
19¢
24h Volume
$0
Open Interest
$1,337.745

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)4417.2%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)54.5%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI9Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
Overround-0.1%Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LASLiquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RV789%Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VR1.20Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR0.6/hInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY4417%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.

7-Day History

31 indicator snapshots · 3 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.409
Label
neutral
Spread
19¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 3:18:38 PM

About this market

This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion. If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to trade

View on polymarket: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade 0x2332e51f4618daaf2cc972dd0ff9f1ad69bfa6bc744498764edce7978ab06a59 yes 100

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