Will Mitchell Marner win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?

0x3a8c696b2e7cdd98fffd14a0e7528f07c232bd23ff5477f6b81e7448bd17c96f · closes Jun 30, 2026 · 77 days remaining

Price

Last
2¢
Bid
0¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
4¢
24h Volume
$107.42
Open Interest
$820.354

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)15272.3%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)14.6%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI32Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
Overround0.0%Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LASLiquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RV3075%Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VR2.85Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR0.9/hInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY15272%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.

7-Day History

183 indicator snapshots · 2 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 6:02:51 PM

About this market

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Frank J. Selke Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to trade

View on polymarket: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade 0x3a8c696b2e7cdd98fffd14a0e7528f07c232bd23ff5477f6b81e7448bd17c96f yes 100

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