Will Lane Hutson win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?

0x61999e7d6cd367b9d4b0a0f90e0434e025e68cb9e6ee699a7664a665c763797d · closes Jun 30, 2026 · 77 days remaining

Price

Last
9¢
Bid
0¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
17¢
24h Volume
$0
Open Interest
$813.424

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)4248.7%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)52.5%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI9Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
Overround0.3%Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LASLiquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RVRealized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VRVol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IARInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY2124%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.

7-Day History

8 indicator snapshots · 4 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.409
Label
neutral
Spread
17¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 4:39:43 PM

About this market

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 James Norris Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to trade

View on polymarket: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade 0x61999e7d6cd367b9d4b0a0f90e0434e025e68cb9e6ee699a7664a665c763797d yes 100

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