Spread: Real Salt Lake (-2.5)

This market has collapsed from 48¢ to 14¢ over seven days, reflecting a dramatic shift in betting sentiment against Real Salt Lake covering a -2.5 goal spread against Inter Miami. The 33,089% implied yield on the "Yes" side is extreme and suggests severe illiquidity—with zero 24-hour volume and only $93k open interest, any position taken at these prices faces substantial slippage risk and potential difficulty exiting. With just 7 days until the April 23 close and a Cliff Risk Index of 6, this market is approaching expiry with highly distorted pricing that likely doesn't reflect true game probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for April 22 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake" if Real Salt Lake win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Inter Miami CF". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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