Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
0x78e794527d21a251948dba9042c49197dc783349d76742daba2d2f048b707c29 · closes Jun 27, 2026 · 74 days remaining
Price
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 181.5% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 1327.0% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 3 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | -0.1% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | — | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 244% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 1.88 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 0.7/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 1327% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.
7-Day History
72 indicator snapshots · 3 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
About this market
This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion. If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to trade
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Or with the sf CLI: sf trade 0x78e794527d21a251948dba9042c49197dc783349d76742daba2d2f048b707c29 yes 100