Will Bradley Barcola be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
0xa5d407e54951ee1d3f8c83fda81f641b958de31f1a8f1baee11aad5f0b415094 · closes May 30, 2026 · 46 days remaining
Price
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 25440.1% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 24.3% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 32 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | -0.1% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | — | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 3102% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 4.41 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 1.3/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 25440% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.
7-Day History
122 indicator snapshots · 1 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
About this market
This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season. If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Only goals scored in Ligue 1 matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., Coupe de France, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to trade
View on polymarket: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade 0xa5d407e54951ee1d3f8c83fda81f641b958de31f1a8f1baee11aad5f0b415094 yes 100