Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

This market shows extreme mispricing with a 3204.6% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting either severe illiquidity or a significant undervaluation of Świątek's chances at 12¢. The zero 24-hour volume combined with $24.8M open interest and a wide 3¢ spread indicates the market is largely frozen, making the quoted price potentially unreliable for actual execution. With 84 days to Wimbledon and a notable 2¢ price decline over seven days, this appears to be a low-conviction, illiquid position where the extreme yield reflects the difficulty of exiting rather than genuine probability assessment.

Resolution rules

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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