Open Source
Everything SimpleFunctions has open-sourced — 39 artifacts across SDKs, primitives, utilities, datasets, demos, and content. All CC-BY-4.0, MIT, Apache-2.0, or CC0.
Featured
- CONTENT·CC-BY-4.0Prediction Markets Reading List256 articles + 63-term glossary for understanding and trading prediction markets
- DATASET·CC-BY-4.0World State Daily (Hugging Face)Daily end-of-day prediction-market world state from Kalshi + Polymarket
- DATASET·CC-BY-4.0World Awareness Bench (Hugging Face)Monthly 100-question AI-agent benchmark graded against market consensus
- DEMO·OtherClaude ArenaAI vs AI vs AI — autonomous Claude agents battle in a live CTF arena
- PRIMITIVE·Othersf-ml-baseline v0.1Gradient-boosted tree ensemble for 24h prediction-market forecasting — first feature-based OSS baseline
- PRIMITIVE·OtherCausal Tree DecompositionStandalone causal-tree probability engine — thesis to weighted confidence, zero deps
SDKs
10- SimpleFunctions CLIPrediction market infrastructure CLI — 42 commands, MCP server, REST APITypeScript·MIT
- SimpleFunctions Python SDKCalibrated world model for AI agents — real-time probabilities from 9,706 marketsPython·MIT
- LangChain Prediction Market ToolsLangChain tools for prediction-market data — world state, uncertainty, edgesTypeScript·Other
- OpenAI Agents SDK — Prediction Market ToolsFunction-calling tools for OpenAI Agents SDK and Chat CompletionsTypeScript·Other
- Vercel AI SDK — Prediction Market ToolsVercel AI SDK tools with zod schemasTypeScript·Other
- CrewAI Prediction Market ToolsCrewAI tools so your crew can reason about the worldPython·Other
- Agent World AwarenessOne-line prediction-market context injection for any AI agentTypeScript·Other
- Prediction Market ContextFetch structured prediction-market context for any LLMTypeScript·MIT
- Prediction Market Uncertainty IndexOne function, one number (0-100) — real-time uncertainty from 30K+ marketsTypeScript·Other
- Prediction Market MCP ExampleMinimal MCP server that queries prediction markets via SimpleFunctionsJavaScript·Other
Primitives
5- sf-ml-baseline v0.1Gradient-boosted tree ensemble for 24h prediction-market forecasting — first feature-based OSS baselinePython·Other
- Causal Tree DecompositionStandalone causal-tree probability engine — thesis to weighted confidence, zero depsTypeScript·Other
- Prediction Market Regime ClassifierDetect market regime states (crisis, risk-off, risk-on, complacent) in real timeTypeScript·Other
- Prediction Market Edge DetectorDetect mispricings in prediction markets — filter, rank, monitorTypeScript·Other
- Polymarket Sports Market MakerSports MM bot optimized for Polymarket's quadratic liquidity rewardPython·MIT
Utilities
5- Polymarket Ticker ResolverResolve any Polymarket market ID format — numeric, conditionId, CLOB token, slugTypeScript·Other
- Kalshi Orderbook ViewerTerminal orderbook visualization for Kalshi and PolymarketTypeScript·Other
- Kalshi Price MonitorMonitor Kalshi prices and alert on significant changesTypeScript·MIT
- create-prediction-market-agentScaffold a prediction-market agent with one commandTypeScript·Other
- World State GitHub ActionInject real-time prediction-market world state into CI/CD workflowsTypeScript·Other
Datasets
9- World State Daily (Hugging Face)Daily end-of-day prediction-market world state from Kalshi + Polymarket·CC-BY-4.0
- World Awareness Bench (Hugging Face)Monthly 100-question AI-agent benchmark graded against market consensus·CC-BY-4.0
- SF Index History (Hugging Face)Time series of the SF Index — disagreement, geo-risk, breadth, activity·CC-BY-4.0
- Settled Markets (Hugging Face)Monthly partitions of every settled Kalshi + Polymarket market with outcome + predicted price·CC-BY-4.0
- Calibration Scorecards (Hugging Face)Monthly Brier + log-loss breakdowns for Kalshi + Polymarket·CC-BY-4.0
- World State Daily (Kaggle mirror)Daily prediction-market world state on Kaggle·CC-BY-4.0
- SF Index History (Kaggle mirror)SF Index time series on Kaggle·CC-BY-4.0
- Settled Markets (Kaggle mirror)Every settled Kalshi + Polymarket market, monthly partitions — on Kaggle·CC-BY-4.0
- Calibration Scorecards (Kaggle mirror)Monthly calibration rollups on Kaggle·CC-BY-4.0
Demos
4- MementoMemory-augmented AI safety research — multi-agent persistence experimentsPython·Other
- Claude ArenaAI vs AI vs AI — autonomous Claude agents battle in a live CTF arenaPython·Other
- Claude TradingAutonomous Claude agents trade against each other on a live exchangePython·Other
- HarnessDual pi-agent runtime — two agents share state and self-modify via a 5-message protocolTypeScript·Other
Content
4- Prediction Markets Reading List256 articles + 63-term glossary for understanding and trading prediction markets·CC-BY-4.0
- Awesome Prediction Market ToolsCurated list of prediction-market tools — APIs, bots, analytics, data feeds, arbitrage·CC0
- Awesome Prediction MarketsCurated list of prediction-market APIs, tools, datasets, and resources·MIT
- Awesome CLI Agentic ToolsCurated list of CLI tools for AI agents — prediction markets, frameworks, coding, browsers·CC0