Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

This Spanberger nomination market shows extreme asymmetry with a 113.4% Yes yield versus 30.1% No yield, suggesting traders are pricing in meaningful uncertainty despite the modest 34¢ price. The sharp 7-day rally from 4¢ to 34¢ (750% move) indicates a significant catalyst or shift in sentiment, though the thin $147.98 daily volume and low $9,075.99 open interest raise questions about liquidity depth and whether the price movement reflects genuine conviction or thin-market volatility. With 625 days to expiry and a low cliff risk index of 2, there's ample time for the market to settle, but traders should verify if this price aligns with other Democratic candidate nomination markets on the same venue.

Resolution rules

If Abigail Spanberger announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028,, then the market resolves to Yes.

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