Will the New York Mets win more than 89.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

The Yes position at 30¢ offers an extreme 499.5% implied yield, but this is almost entirely cliff risk given the market's 1681% realized volatility and near-zero liquidity ($0 in 24h volume despite $1.1M open interest). The sharp 14-cent price decline over seven days combined with a 7.76 vol ratio and 2.0 cliff risk index suggests this market is highly illiquid and prone to manipulation, making the headline yield misleading for actual traders seeking meaningful exposure to Mets over-89.5-wins odds.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "O 89.5" if the New York Mets win more than 89.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the New York Mets to record more than 89.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 89.5". If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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