Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

This Hillary Clinton 2028 nomination market is pricing in only a 6% probability despite roughly 3 years until expiration, suggesting strong consensus skepticism about a comeback bid. The $0 24-hour volume and $922 open interest indicate severe illiquidity, making the 4¢ spread potentially misleading—any meaningful trade could shift the price significantly. The neutral regime and extended timeframe provide little near-term catalyst risk, though the market's low valuation appears to reflect her age (she'll be 80 by Election Day) and prior statements against another run rather than any imminent announcement signal.

Resolution rules

If Hillary Clinton announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028,, then the market resolves to Yes.

Regime

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