Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

This Jon Ossoff 2028 Democratic nomination market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite a 625-day runway, suggesting minimal trader interest in this specific outcome. The 84.1% implied yield on the Yes side appears artificially inflated given the thin $5,631 open interest and 4¢ spread, indicating the 45¢ price may not reflect genuine consensus probability. The 204% realized volatility and 2.20 vol ratio signal erratic price action typical of low-liquidity niche markets, making this contract unreliable for serious position-taking.

Resolution rules

If Jon Ossoff announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028,, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade