Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

Roy Cooper's nomination odds have tightened from 22¢ to 25¢ over seven days, now settling at 31¢ with a notably asymmetric 175.3% implied yield on the Yes side versus just 19.5% on the No side. The 5¢ spread and modest $636 daily volume suggest thin liquidity for a contract with 625 days to expiry, though the $1,976 open interest indicates some committed positioning. The elevated Yes-side yield and neutral regime score suggest market uncertainty about Cooper's candidacy intentions, with the contract pricing in a meaningful but minority probability he'll formally enter the 2028 Democratic primary race.

Resolution rules

If Roy Cooper announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028,, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade