Will Justin Bieber have above 0 Streams on Luminate during April 10 - April 16, 2026?

KXARTISTSTREAMS-BIEBS26APR16-244.0M · closes Apr 18, 2026 · 5 days remaining

Price

Last
99¢
Bid
87¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
13¢
24h Volume
$0
Open Interest
$875

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)1113.1%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)49850.9%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI7Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
Overround4.1%Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LASLiquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RV1607%Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VR1.76Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR0.4/hInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY49851%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.

7-Day History

13 indicator snapshots · 0 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
13¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 4:36:54 PM

About this market

If Justin Bieber has above 244M Worldwide Streams during the April 10 - April 16, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to trade

View on kalshi: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXARTISTSTREAMS-BIEBS26APR16-244.0M yes 100

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