Will Justin Bieber have above 0 Streams on Luminate during April 10 - April 16, 2026?

KXARTISTSTREAMS-BIEBS26APR16-259.0M · closes Apr 18, 2026 · 5 days remaining

Price

Last
98¢
Bid
40¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
59¢
24h Volume
$1
Open Interest
$1

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)11173.5%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)4966.0%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI2Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
Overround4.1%Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LASLiquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RVRealized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VRVol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IARInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY5587%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.

7-Day History

6 indicator snapshots · 0 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
59¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 4:36:54 PM

About this market

If Justin Bieber has above 259M Worldwide Streams during the April 10 - April 16, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to trade

View on kalshi: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXARTISTSTREAMS-BIEBS26APR16-259.0M yes 100

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