Will Hernan Casanova win the Casanova vs Torres: Round Of 32 match?
KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR13CASTOR-CAS · closes Apr 27, 2026 · 14 days remaining
Price
Last
37¢
Bid
37¢
Ask
39¢
Spread
2¢
24h Volume
$9
Open Interest
$7
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 4361.0% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 1504.2% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 2 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | — | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 1.08 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 2429% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 3.46 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 3.6/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 0% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
15 indicator snapshots · 1 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 3:11:48 PM
About this market
If Hernan Casanova wins the Casanova vs Torres professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Santa Cruz Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR13CASTOR-CAS yes 100