Will Daniel Dutra Da Silva win the Dutra Da Silva vs Johns: Qualification Final match?
KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR13DUTJOH-DUT · closes Apr 27, 2026 · 14 days remaining
Price
Last
91¢
Bid
90¢
Ask
91¢
Spread
1¢
24h Volume
$364,973
Open Interest
$282,777
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 1680.4% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 4111.0% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 2 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | — | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.02 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 4655% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 7.31 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 2.3/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 4044% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
35 indicator snapshots · 4 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 6:01:28 PM
About this market
If Daniel Dutra Da Silva wins the Dutra Da Silva vs Johns professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Tallahassee Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR13DUTJOH-DUT yes 100