Will Risk It All be on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Apr 25, 2026

KXBBCHARTPOSITIONSONG-26APR25RIS-6 · closes Apr 20, 2026 · 6 days remaining

Price

Last
6¢
Bid
0¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
6¢
24h Volume
$0
Open Interest
$203

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)89783.8%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)365.8%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI16Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
Overround-0.4%Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LASLiquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RVRealized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VRVol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IARInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY44892%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.

7-Day History

1 indicator snapshots · 0 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
6¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 7:11:51 PM

About this market

If Risk It All by Bruno Mars is ranked #6 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to trade

View on kalshi: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXBBCHARTPOSITIONSONG-26APR25RIS-6 yes 100

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