Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above 445 cava restaurants in Q1 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 96% probability that Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above 445 cava restaurants in Q1 2026?. This contract trades at 96¢ on Kalshi, closing June 13, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the massive 8839.5% implied yield on the "No" side.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the massive 8839.5% implied yield on the "No" side. The 91¢ to 93¢ price movement over seven days suggests recent modest bullish sentiment, yet the complete absence of trading activity and 6¢ spread indicate virtually no market participants are willing to transact at current levels. With 55 days to expiration and a moderate Cliff Risk Index of 13, this appears to be a dead market where the pricing reflects no real conviction rather than genuine probability assessment.
Resolution rules
If CAVA Group Inc. reports Above 445 cava restaurants in Q1 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXCAVA-26MAYREST-445 yes 100