Sichuan Blue Whales vs Tianjin Pioneers Winner?
KXCBAGAME-26APR150735SBWTIA-SBW · closes Apr 29, 2026 · 16 days remaining
Price
Last
6¢
Bid
5¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
1¢
24h Volume
$4,160
Open Interest
$3,417
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 44068.1% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 122.1% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 19 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | — | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | — | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 3180% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 1.72 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 1.0/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 44068% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.
7-Day History
39 indicator snapshots · 1 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 6:04:30 PM
About this market
If Sichuan Blue Whales wins the Sichuan Blue Whales vs Tianjin Pioneers professional Chinese Basketball Association basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 15, 2026 at 7:35 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXCBAGAME-26APR150735SBWTIA-SBW yes 100