Shanghai Sharks vs Guangzhou Loong Lions Winner?

KXCBAGAME-26APR150735SHADGLL-SHAD · closes Apr 29, 2026 · 16 days remaining

Price

Last
88¢
Bid
79¢
Ask
88¢
Spread
9¢
24h Volume
$1
Open Interest
$1

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)11241.9%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)471.6%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI5Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
OverroundMulti-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS0.47Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RV14593%Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VR21.98Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR1.6/hInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY5951%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

7-Day History

57 indicator snapshots · 1 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
9¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 3:14:11 PM

About this market

If Shanghai Sharks wins the Shanghai Sharks vs Guangzhou Loong Lions professional Chinese Basketball Association basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 15, 2026 at 7:35 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to trade

View on kalshi: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXCBAGAME-26APR150735SHADGLL-SHAD yes 100

Related concepts