Will the copper close price be above $5.45 on Apr 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KXCOPPERMON-26APR3017-T5.45 · closes Apr 30, 2026 · 17 days remaining
Price
Last
90¢
Bid
88¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
9¢
24h Volume
$0
Open Interest
$251.98
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 288.6% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 15522.3% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 7 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | 40.000 | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 17.4% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.13 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 1370% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 5.00 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 0.8/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 13582% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
150 indicator snapshots · 1 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
9¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 3:13:01 PM
About this market
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for copper on April 30, 2026 at 5 PM EDT is above 5.45 USD/Lbs, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXCOPPERMON-26APR3017-T5.45 yes 100