Will the copper close price be above $6.05 on Apr 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KXCOPPERMON-26APR3017-T6.05 · closes Apr 30, 2026 · 17 days remaining
Price
Last
23¢
Bid
39¢
Ask
49¢
Spread
10¢
24h Volume
$1
Open Interest
$93
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 3196.1% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 1420.5% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 2 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 18.2% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | — | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 1435% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 1.02 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 1.1/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 3196% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.
7-Day History
192 indicator snapshots · 1 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.636
Label
taker
Spread
10¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 6:00:36 PM
About this market
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for copper on April 30, 2026 at 5 PM EDT is above 6.05 USD/Lbs, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXCOPPERMON-26APR3017-T6.05 yes 100