Will the copper close price be above $6.17 on Apr 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KXCOPPERMON-26APR3017-T6.17 · closes Apr 30, 2026 · 17 days remaining
Price
Last
17¢
Bid
25¢
Ask
35¢
Spread
10¢
24h Volume
$1
Open Interest
$121
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 6064.5% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 748.6% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 3 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 18.2% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | — | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 2960% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 1.12 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 0.7/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 6064% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.
7-Day History
156 indicator snapshots · 1 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.636
Label
taker
Spread
10¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 6:01:02 PM
About this market
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for copper on April 30, 2026 at 5 PM EDT is above 6.17 USD/Lbs, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXCOPPERMON-26APR3017-T6.17 yes 100