Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in April?
KXCPICORE-26APR-T0.2 · closes May 12, 2026 · 29 days remaining
Price
Last
80¢
Bid
80¢
Ask
82¢
Spread
2¢
24h Volume
$4,268.63
Open Interest
$6,701.67
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 315.9% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 5054.2% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 4 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 1.8% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.01 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 218% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 1.16 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 0.4/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 4991% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | -5.25 (1d to event) | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
65 indicator snapshots · 2 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.568
Label
neutral
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 3:11:31 PM
About this market
If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for April 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXCPICORE-26APR-T0.2 yes 100