Will CPI Core rise more than 0.4% in April?
KXCPICORE-26APR-T0.4 · closes May 12, 2026 · 29 days remaining
Price
Last
20¢
Bid
19¢
Ask
20¢
Spread
1¢
24h Volume
$7,765.66
Open Interest
$17,364.32
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 5386.7% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 296.4% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 4 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 1.8% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.05 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 868% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 0.99 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 0.3/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 5103% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | -5.41 (1d to event) | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
49 indicator snapshots · 20 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
—¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 3:01:00 PM
About this market
If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for April 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
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Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXCPICORE-26APR-T0.4 yes 100