Will CPI Core rise more than 0.5% in April?
KXCPICORE-26APR-T0.5 · closes May 12, 2026 · 29 days remaining
Price
Last
5¢
Bid
5¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
2¢
24h Volume
$546.75
Open Interest
$1,863.75
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 24007.3% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 66.5% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 19 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 1.8% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.20 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 1225% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 0.78 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 0.4/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 19206% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | -5.63 (1d to event) | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
25 indicator snapshots · 1 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.568
Label
neutral
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 3:11:48 PM
About this market
If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for April 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXCPICORE-26APR-T0.5 yes 100