Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in May?

KXCPICORE-26MAY-T0.2 · closes Jun 10, 2026 · 58 days remaining

Price

Last
49¢
Bid
45¢
Ask
52¢
Spread
7¢
24h Volume
$0
Open Interest
$400

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)772.2%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)516.9%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI1Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EE8.000Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
Overround1.6%Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LASLiquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RVRealized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VRVol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IARInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY386%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.

7-Day History

5 indicator snapshots · 1 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.625
Label
taker
Spread
7¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 5:59:31 PM

About this market

If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for May 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to trade

View on kalshi: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXCPICORE-26MAY-T0.2 yes 100

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