Will Euro area inflation rate YoY flash for April 2026 be above 2.6%?

95¢mid
Bid/Ask 91/98¢·Spread 7¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Apr 30, 2026·12d remaining
KXEZCPIYOYF-26APR30-T2.6

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a 7-cent spread, suggesting virtually no trading activity or market maker presence. The 0¢ price implies near-zero probability that eurozone inflation will exceed 2.6% YoY in April 2026, yet the astronomical implied yields (302% for Yes, 30,906% for No) indicate severe mispricing or a broken market rather than genuine consensus. With only 12 days to expiry and the resolution criteria appearing incomplete in the data provided, this market appears abandoned or non-functional.

Resolution rules

If Euro area inflation rate YoY flash for April 2026 is above 2.6 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 302.6%
IY (No) 30932.5%
Adj IY 14277%
CRI 10
Overround 6.1%
LAS 0.08
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)302.6%
IY (No)30932.5%
Adj IY14277%
CRI10
Overround6.1%
LAS0.08

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
7¢
Computed
4/18/2026, 3:49:49 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/18/2026, 3:38:22 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXEZCPIYOYF-26APR30-T2.6 yes 100

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