When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List?
KXFDAANNOUNCE-BPC-26APR15 · closes Apr 15, 2026 · 2 days remaining
Price
Last
3¢
Bid
6¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
1¢
24h Volume
$311.22
Open Interest
$235.87
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | >100,000% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 1394.2% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 16 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 1.5% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.33 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | — | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | — | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | — | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 33335% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
23 indicator snapshots · 1 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 12:04:20 PM
About this market
If the FDA announces Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List before Apr 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXFDAANNOUNCE-BPC-26APR15 yes 100