2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year?
Prediction markets currently give a 17% probability that 2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year?. This contract trades at 17¢ on Kalshi, closing November 1, 2027. This market shows extremely low liquidity with zero 24-hour volume and just $516 open interest, making the 18¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning.
Analysis
This market shows extremely low liquidity with zero 24-hour volume and just $516 open interest, making the 18¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning. The asymmetric implied yields (316% for Yes vs. 13% for No) suggest significant mispricing or reflect genuine uncertainty about whether "So Easy (To Fall In Love)" will secure a Grammy nomination by the 69th Awards in February 2027. With 564 days until expiry and a wide 6¢ spread, this appears to be a speculative niche market where the low price may undervalue nomination odds for what could be a competitive track.
Resolution rules
If So Easy (To Fall In Love) has been nominated for Record of the Year at the 69th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXGRAMMYNOMROTY-69-SOE yes 100