Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

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42%

20 markets·Kalshi + Polymarket

Kalshi

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47%

12 contracts

Polymarket

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34%

8 contracts

Cross-venue gap13¢

Contracts

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

P$3K

78¢

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?: 4th or lower

P$2K

7¢

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?: 3

P$1K

4¢

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?: 1

P$1K

38¢

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?: Hottest

K$594

28¢

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?: 2

P$273

54¢

Will Taylor Swift be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?: Taylor Swift

K$223

20¢

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?: 2nd hottest

P$187

9¢

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?: 3rd hottest

P$118

81¢

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?: 4

P$46

4¢

2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year?: So Easy (To Fall In Love)

K$10

17¢

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?: Hottest

K$7

34¢

2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year?: I Just Might

K$1

86¢

2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year?: Aperture

K$0

52¢

Will Eminem be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?: Eminem

K$0

4¢

2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year?: Choosin' Texas

K$0

80¢

2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year?: The Fate of Ophelia

K$0

91¢

2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year?: Man I Need

K$0

82¢

Will Ariana Grande be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?: Ariana Grande

K$0

4¢

Will BTS be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?: BTS

K$0

66¢

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