Arizona vs Baltimore Winner?
KXMLBGAME-26APR131835AZBAL-BAL · closes Apr 16, 2026 · 3 days remaining
Price
Last
55¢
Bid
54¢
Ask
55¢
Spread
1¢
24h Volume
$26,479
Open Interest
$22,570
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 10721.6% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 14775.1% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 1 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | — | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.02 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 194% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 0.19 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 0.8/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 9184% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
53 indicator snapshots · 12 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 4:36:57 PM
About this market
If Baltimore wins the Arizona vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 13, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXMLBGAME-26APR131835AZBAL-BAL yes 100