Kansas City vs Detroit Winner?

KXMLBGAME-26APR151840KCDET-DET · closes Apr 18, 2026 · 5 days remaining

Price

Last
52¢
Bid
52¢
Ask
57¢
Spread
5¢
24h Volume
$70
Open Interest
$46

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)7039.8%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)8261.9%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI1Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
OverroundMulti-outcome arb signal across the event family
LASLiquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RV1053%Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VR0.92Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR2.6/hInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY8262%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.

7-Day History

49 indicator snapshots · 0 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 7:13:11 PM

About this market

If Detroit wins the Kansas City vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 15, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to trade

View on kalshi: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXMLBGAME-26APR151840KCDET-DET yes 100

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