Steven Kwan: 2+ hits?
KXMLBHIT-26APR131945CLESTL-CLESKWAN38-2 · closes Apr 16, 2026 · 3 days remaining
Price
Last
30¢
Bid
30¢
Ask
32¢
Spread
2¢
24h Volume
$3
Open Interest
$3
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 28840.7% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 5297.3% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 2 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 1.0% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | — | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 54974% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 1.95 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 1.7/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 28841% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.
7-Day History
18 indicator snapshots · 0 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 3:15:42 PM
About this market
If Steven Kwan records 2+ hits in the Cleveland vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 13, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXMLBHIT-26APR131945CLESTL-CLESKWAN38-2 yes 100