What will the announcers say during Atlanta vs Philadelphia Professional Baseball Game?

39¢
Bid/Ask 39/85¢·Spread 46¢·Vol $3.18·OI $3.18·Closes May 3, 2026·15d remaining
KXMLBMENTION-26APR19ATLPHI-GRAN
7-day price35 snapshots · 2 regime
42¢2¢Apr 17Apr 19

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity and volatility with only $3.18 in 24-hour volume and a massive 47¢ bid-ask spread, making the 39¢ price potentially unreliable. The implied yield of 3817% on the Yes side is extraordinarily high and suggests either severe mispricing or minimal trading activity driving the quote; the price has surged from 2¢ to 39¢ over seven days despite an info arrival rate of only 0.8/h, indicating speculative movement rather than fundamental news. With just 15 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 2, this market is illiquid enough that any actual trade could significantly move the price in either direction.

Resolution rules

If the play by play or color commentator(s) says Grand Slam as part of Atlanta vs Philadelphia Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3827.9%
IY (No) 1564.7%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 2
RV 1473%
VR 1.48
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)3827.9%
IY (No)1564.7%
Adj IY0%
CRI2
RV1473%
VR1.48
IAR0.8/h
Overround7.5%
LAS1.21

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
46¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 1:31:21 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 1:23:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXMLBMENTION-26APR19ATLPHI-GRAN yes 100

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